Thomas Fuller
4 April 2013
Najib, seen here with BN's right wing ally Perkasa's chairman Ibrahim Ali
The country has been led by Barisan Nasional whose three main
members are parties that define themselves on explicitly racial lines:
one for Malays, one for Chinese, and one for Indians. But in recent
years, the cohesion of those groups has begun to fray.
When the prime minister of Malaysia, Najib Razak,
announced Wednesday that he was dissolving Parliament, he set in motion
an election campaign that will render judgment not just on his embattled
governing coalition, but also on Malaysia’s longstanding system of
dividing the power and spoils of public life on ethnic lines.
“This is a referendum on race-based politics,” Ibrahim Suffian, the
director of the Merdeka Center, an independent polling agency, said of
the election. “The ruling coalition continues to argue that the existing
system brings stability. The opposition is talking more about politics
based on class, not race.”
The country has been led since
independence in 1957 by a coalition, now known as the National Front,
whose three main members are parties that define themselves on
explicitly racial lines: one for Malays, the country’s largest ethnic
group; one for Chinese; and one for Indians. But in recent years, the
cohesion of those groups has begun to fray.
Chinese voters, who
make up about one-quarter of the country’s population of nearly 30
million, have abandoned the coalition in large numbers, and the Malays
who have dominated the political hierarchy for five decades are divided.
“How
can you have a country based on race? It’s like South Africa 30 years
ago,” said Nariza Hashim, a voter in Kuala Lumpur who is classified as
Malay but who has Chinese, Indian and Scottish as well as Malay
ancestors.
Though her grandfather was an early leader of the
United Malays National Organization, the Malay component of the
coalition, Ms. Nariza said the country’s ethnic classifications baffled
her five children. “They really don’t understand why you would ask
someone’s race on a government form,” she said.
The ethnic system
has been reinforced over the years by paternalistic news media with
close ties to the governing coalition. A leading English-language
newspaper, New Straits Times, ran an article about the elections on its
front page Wednesday with a photograph of Mr. Najib waving his index
finger, next to the headline “Choose wisely.”
But young
Malaysians are increasingly cynical about the view they see in the
establishment press. As Internet access has spread — two-thirds of
Malaysians can now use it, up from about 55 percent at the last election
in 2008 — independent voices and opposition parties have had an easier
time reaching voters.
“A lot of what I know about what’s
happening in the country comes from what my friends share on Facebook,”
said Pei Ting Tham, 27, an outdoor sports instructor. “People are much
more aware of what’s going on.”
Some Malaysian policies that
discouraged people from speaking out have been repealed in the past two
years, including laws barring university students from politics and
allowing for detention without trial.
The
opposition, led by Anwar Ibrahim, a former deputy prime minister, made
major gains in the 2008 elections, winning control of several states and
enough seats in Parliament to deny the governing coalition the
two-thirds supermajority that had allowed it to amend the Constitution
at will. This time around, analysts and polling experts say, the
opposition has its first chance to win outright.
The way the
electoral system is structured and constituency boundaries are drawn may
still give the National Front the edge. It won only 51 percent of the
total popular vote in 2008, but that translated to 63 percent of the
seats in Parliament.
But Mr. Ibrahim of the polling agency said
the government faced a challenge in winning over new voters, who appear
“more inclined” to vote for the opposition. More than one-quarter of the
electorate this year will be voting for the first time.
Chinese
voters are another challenge. Longstanding preferences for ethnic Malays
in land purchases, bank loans and university admissions have angered
and alienated Chinese Malaysians. “We are always reminded that we are
not full-fledged citizens,” said Ms. Tham, the sports instructor, who
said she intended to vote for the opposition.
Mr. Najib sounded
defensive at times as he announced the dissolution of Parliament on
national television. “Don’t gamble the future of your children and
Malaysia,” he said. “Think and contemplate as much as you can before
making a decision. Because that will determine the direction of the
country and also your grandchildren’s future.”
The precise date
has yet to be set by the country’s election commission, but the vote
must be held within two months; Malaysian news media speculation
centered on late April. State legislatures will be elected the same day.
Although
the opposition has held some power at the state level over the last
five years, some people still see a vote for the opposition as a leap in
the dark.
“Malaysians have been so loyal; it was blind loyalty,”
Ms. Nariza said. “We grew up with this system, and there was never a
strong alternative. Now there is. Can they deliver? We don’t know.”
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